January 24，More than 3 million people poured into Beijing at the same time、Shanghai、Guangzhou Three Railway Stations，The 2016 Spring Festival Transport kicked off。According to the forecast of the Ministry of Transport of China，During 188bet Live Casino this year，The total number of Chinese passengers sent will reach 29.100 million visitors，An increase of 3 compared with last year.6%。But even so，This value is still the same as 2014 - the peak number of passengers sent in the past 6 years，A difference of more than 700 million visits。

What caused such a huge gap in the total number of passengers sent during 188bet Live Casino in the past five years？Can we predict the future Spring Festival travel trends based on this?？Pass data，We will help you predict the changes and changes in 188bet Live Casino in the future。

Prediction 1: The floating population determines the scale of 188bet Live Casino travel

From the picture above，As the main force of the population returning home during 188bet Live Casino - the number of floating population，The increase or decrease will have a direct impact on the number of passengers sent during 188bet Live Casino across the country。In recent years，The changes and composition of the floating population are changing。

According to the "China Migrant Population Development Report 2015" released by the China Health and Planning Commission in November last year，The average time of migrant population living in their current place of residence has exceeded 3 years；Nearly 90% of the married migrant population moves together as husband and wife，60% of floating population and spouse、Children move together，More and more migrant families choose to take their elderly with them。This trend may change the direction of population mobility during 188bet Live Casino travel season - the place where floating population groups and their families reunite will change from "hometown" to "working city"。

Also，5 years，Although the total number of migrant workers increases，But the total is about 1.The proportion of 600 million migrant workers in the migrant workers group is decreasing year by year，Reduced from about 62% in 2011 to about 60% in 2015，And its growth rate continues to decrease。The group of migrant workers who would have contributed to the increase in the total number of passengers sent during 188bet Live Casino，Nowadays, the influence is shrinking。

Prediction 2: It’s hard to get a share 188bet Live Casino new way of returning home

Look at the changes in 188bet Live Casino methods: Railway 188bet Live Casino is becoming more and more popular，There are new changes in road transportation。

Since 2012，Take the railway、The 188bet Live Casino returning home by civil aviation shows a steady growth trend。End of 2015，The total mileage of China’s high-speed rail has reached 1.90,000 kilometers，An increase of 0 compared with the beginning of the year.30,000 kilometers。Gradually increasing railway transport capacity makes trains、High-speed rail travel is increasingly popular。In the future，This may keep the number of people returning home from the railways on an increasing trend。

In comparison，The number of road passengers dropped significantly in 20158.500 million visitors，Decreased by 26% compared with 2014，The total number of people sent during 188bet Live Casino travel period decreased by 8.200 million (about 23% decrease) is roughly the same。But this year, a new way of returning home relies on the Internet "Carpooling Home"，Drawing people’s attention back to the item of “passenger transportation by road”。

Data from Didi Media Research Institute，The main origin of the "carpooling" population is one、Second-tier cities。According to prediction，This year’s 188bet Live Casino，Didi Taxi will send more than one million passengers in total，0% of the predicted total number of passengers sent to China in 2016.03%。

Short and medium distances are still the main market for carpooling。Judging from mileage，More than half of Didi’s ride-sharing users have a mileage of less than 500 kilometers，Nearly 54%。188bet Live Casino is roughly equivalent to the data published by Baidu Maps，The starting point of the top three most popular bus routes——Beijing、Shanghai、Guangzhou、The average operating mileage in Shenzhen is also 300 kilometers。

Can “carpooling home” play a role in this year’s 188bet Live Casino travel rush？

As you can see from the previous data from the Ministry of Transport of China，Railway is still the main mode of travel during 188bet Live Casino。You can see the "Top Ten Hottest Railway Lines" on the first day of Spring Festival travel published by Baidu Map，The average self-driving time is 14 hours，Compared with carpooling distance and time consumption，There is a huge difference between the two。Operable mileage may become a key factor in the development of ride-sharing business。