Liang Jianzhang: Interpretation of the new 188bet app download policy and industry impact

188bet app download policy; tourism industry Author of 188bet app download article: Liang Jianzhang 2022-11-13 10:52:38
The more important significance of this policy,It indicates the arrival of an inflection point in 188bet app download policies and changes in 188bet app download logic

“Double Eleven”Today,“Twenty tips for optimizing 188bet app download and control”Stealing all the shopping deals。Various 188bet app download policies have been relaxed to a certain extent,Centralized quarantine 7+3 shortened to 5+3,This close link will no longer be tracked,In addition, international flights will no longer be circuit breaker。CSI 300 Index surged 2 that day.79%,Many stocks in the tourism and hotel sector are active。

Take the tourism industry as an example,Quarantine reduced from 10 days to 8 days,It’s still too long for most inbound or outbound tourists,Overseas travel will still be blocked to a large extent;Evolving list of cities involved in high-risk areas,Still makes people hesitate to travel long distances;For catering, entertainment and other industries,As long as there are high-risk areas,It will still prevent many people from going out to spend money。So compared to the short-term impact on the economy,The more important significance of this policy,It indicates the arrival of an inflection point in 188bet app download policies and changes in 188bet app download logic。

There are generally two trends in the evolution of viruses,First, the toxicity is getting weaker and weaker,Second, the power of communication is getting stronger and stronger。We measure the infectivity of a disease by the basic reproduction number (R0),188bet app download is the average number of people an initial case infects in a population without associated immunity。Based on a public article by a professor of biostatistics and epidemiology at the University of South Australia,The R0 of the original strain of the new coronavirus is 3.3,Delta’s R0 is 5.1,Omicron BA.The R0 of 1 is 9.5。The latest mutant strain is indeed extremely contagious,Excellent at evading immunity from vaccinations and past infections。

If the 188bet app download policy mainly considers the spread of the virus,To achieve zero infection in the whole society,The lockdown policy will become more and more stringent。As the spread of the new coronavirus becomes stronger,Blocks and controls are becoming more and more frequent and widespread,The economic costs paid by the entire society are increasing。

On the other hand,As the virus becomes less and less toxic,Both the fatality rate and severe disease rate have dropped significantly。For example, this can be seen from the death toll data in South Korea and Vietnam,Virus fatality rate continues to decline,Even dropped to levels below influenza。If the 188bet app download policy mainly considers virus toxicity,That is, the number of deaths and severe illness rather than the number of infections,Then,With reduced toxicity,188bet app download policies should be gradually opened up。

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188bet app download source: World Health Organization

The adjustment of the 188bet app download policy is exactly towards this logic,The adjustment is obviously not because the virus is less transmissible,It’s because the virus’s toxicity has decreased。So it can be considered that the new policy is indeed an inflection point,In the future, we can expect that as the public’s understanding of the virus becomes more rational and objective,Policy adjustments will mainly consider the reduction of virus toxicity,Continuously optimize until fully restored to the state before the epidemic。

Actually,Other countries’ 188bet app download policies have also experienced a process of gradual tightening and then gradual relaxation。I believe that as the virus becomes less virulent,China will also switch to a stage of gradual liberalization,This is the great significance of this new 188bet app download policy,This is also the reason why the entire market has such a positive reaction。

Also“Twenty Articles”It also clearly stipulated some details of the 188bet app download policy,The purpose is to effectively prevent the chaos of layer upon layer coding in various places。For example, it is clearly stipulated that nucleic acid testing or blockade cannot be carried out according to administrative regions,No repeated quarantine of incoming guests, etc.。Obviously the central government has realized that if these details of 188bet app download are not stipulated,It is possible to increase the number in various places。What to look forward to,Future 188bet app download policies will be more specific,This will help improve the efficiency of policy implementation,It is also a guarantee that the policy will have a positive impact on the economy and various industries in the future。

Let’s talk about the impact on tourism and other industries。Overseas tourism has gradually opened up,Following the opening up in Europe and the United States,Singapore in Asia announced its opening to some countries as early as August 2021“Vaccinator Travel Lane (VTL)”,And fully open borders to vaccinated tourists on April 1, 2022。Thailand will cancel all entry quarantine starting from June this year,Even tourists who are not fully vaccinated,You only need to do an antigen test at the entry airport in Thailand。At the latest, Japan officially lifted the restrictions on free travel that had been in place for more than two years since the COVID-19 188bet app download in October this year,Visitors from 68 countries and regions including the European Union and the United States are allowed to enter without a visa。Hong Kong, China announced that the current quarantine measures will be changed from the current“3+4”Change to“0+3”Isolation at home。Nevertheless,Hong Kong, China and fully open Singapore,Still at a disadvantage in attracting tourists and large-scale events。

Most countries and regions in the world no longer require wearing masks or providing nucleic acid certificates,Global travel is basically back to normal,This is directly reflected in the resumption of global flights。September 2022,International flights resume strongly,According to IATA official data,Revenue passenger kilometers indicator (RPK,That is, the number of passengers on each flight multiplied by the sum of the flight miles),North America has returned to 89 in 2019.4%,Europe has recovered to 78%,The Asia-Pacific region has only recovered to about 50%,Mainly because the resumption of China-related flights is still relatively lagging。From the perspective of international air ticket segment volume indicators,Europe and the United States have recovered to more than 80% of 2019,Global、Asia-Pacific is 188bet app download rising。

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188bet app download source: IATA DDS

Meanwhile,Although the number of virus infections worldwide remains high,But the death toll continues to decrease,It did not trigger a medical rush。It can be said that as the virus’s toxicity decreases,The new crown has become a flu。The universal 188bet app download policy is,Checking is not mandatory,If symptoms occur,Whether it’s a cold or COVID-19,It is recommended to self-isolate at home for a few days,The result is that most people can recover。From an objective effect,The strategy of focusing on isolation at home can reduce the occupation of medical resources and social resources,Effectively ensure that severe or other patients receive timely treatment。As long as medical resources are not squeezed,The mortality rate will remain at a very low level,The trend of openness can continue。Judging from the current data,The mortality rate of the new coronavirus is lower than that of influenza,The severe disease rate is also very low,The situation of shortage of medical resources is also relatively optimistic。So it can be expected,The global tourism industry will continue to recover strongly,Many foreign colleagues are asking when they can travel to China。

It can be seen from this,With the adjustment and even further optimization of policies,China’s tourism industry will also recover strongly。There is even reason to think,The tourism industry will generate greater demand after the 188bet app download,Because the 188bet app download has promoted the popularization of remote working technology。Many companies around the world have implemented 3+2 hybrid office and flexible office models,Ctrip is also promoting the 3+2 remote working model company-wide,Employees can choose to work from home two days a week。After the hybrid office model becomes popular,People will have more flexible time to spend with their families and travel as a family。Also,Popularization of remote technology,It can also promote the globalization of some companies,Expand markets and acquire resources and talents globally。For example, Ctrip’s overseas business has developed rapidly in recent years,Have the opportunity to become a leading Chinese tourism company in the world in the future,The growth of business also includes the hope of attracting more foreigners to travel to China。

For industries other than tourism,For example, catering and entertainment,The adjustment of the direction of the 188bet app download policy is also a shot in the arm to boost confidence。But China’s economy is facing problems in real estate and other industries,Overall demand is still low,Active fiscal and monetary policies need to be launched as soon as possible to stimulate demand。Another long-term hidden danger for China’s economy is the population problem,In addition, the uncertainty caused by the epidemic has made the sluggish fertility and marriage intentions even worse。The total number of new students each year has continued to decline in recent years,A sharp drop from 17.2 million five years ago to 10.6 million last year。It is expected that this year the number of new students will be less than 10 million and the total population will be negative growth,There is an urgent need to introduce fiscal policies to encourage childbirth。It is recommended to combine fiscal policies to encourage childbirth and stimulate demand,For example, cash subsidies and tax exemptions are provided to families with two or more children,It can both stimulate demand and encourage fertility。If combined with real estate policy,Interest subsidies can be provided for mortgage loans for families with two or more children。Of course, encouraging childbirth is a comprehensive social project,In addition to reducing the burden of buying a house,There are also complex policy considerations such as how to reform education and reduce the burden on parents。Generally,How to stimulate demand in the future, especially the demand for real estate,How to encourage childbirth will be the most important policy consideration for China’s economy after the epidemic。The good news is,The report of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China all mentioned issues such as population and education in a programmatic manner,The refinement and implementation of policies deserve attention。

Summary:“Twenty tips for optimizing 188bet app download and control”Heralds the optimization direction of future 188bet app download policies。I believe the epidemic will pass soon,At the same time, we also expect the government to introduce strong policies to stimulate demand and encourage childbirth,Let China’s economy return to the track of long-term prosperity。

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The source of 188bet app download article is Raoliang Shuo, and the copyright belongs to the original author. Original title:Liang Jianzhang: Interpretation of the new 188bet app download policy and industry impact
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