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Evening of July 14th,The Ministry of Culture and 188bet mobile issued relevant notice,Domestic travel that was suspended for 172 days has finally restarted,Practitioners "celebrate the collective discharge from the ICU in the 188bet mobile industry after 6 months",However,Luna, the ground tour guide stationed in Japan, is not happy,After six months of “no customers”,She is still facing a summer vacation without guests。
According to data from China 188bet mobile Academy,my country’s outbound tourists exceeded 27 million in the summer of 2018,1 throughout the year.4.9 billion people,14 year-on-year increase.7%,The situation is very good。Japan as a popular tourist destination,We received 880,000 Chinese tourists in June last year,But now,These numbers are infinitely close to 0。
Data display from Japan 188bet mobile Agency,In the past June,Only 2,600 foreign visitors to Japan,Down 99 year-on-year.9%。Recent,The epidemic in Japan is on the rise again,Nearly 200 new confirmed cases per day,The number of tourists visiting Japan has declined for nine consecutive months since October last year,It seems to continue to "slide down"。
As of the evening of the 22nd, Beijing time,The cumulative number of confirmed cases worldwide exceeds 15.02 million,180,000 new additions in a single day,United States、Brazil and India both have over one million confirmed cases。The epidemic that has not stopped yet、Tourists’ concerns,And the subtle changes in international relations during the epidemic,All bring greater uncertainty to the stagnant outbound 188bet mobile market。
Current situation: no customers for six months, immeasurable losses
For ground tour guides distributed around the world,The summer vacation that should have been busy,Seems so leisurely now。
Luna lives in Osaka,The husband who supports the group as a logistical force。July and August in previous years,They will receive 30~50 188bet mobile,These small groups are mostly family groups with children and self-organized groups of middle-aged and elderly people who live a good life。
After hosting two small groups of three in January,Overseas group tours are prohibited in China,All reservations held by Luna were canceled one after another,No 188bet mobile have been received for 6 months,“Loss of 800,000 yen in July and August,About 5 million yen for the whole year”。
The same is true for Mr. Zhao who runs a small hotel in St. Petersburg, Russia。Because of Russia’s climate,Mr. Zhao’s 188bet mobile business basically only starts from June to September,We receive approximately 600 tourists every year,The number of tourists in the two months of summer often exceeds 50% of the total for the whole year。Now,The number of confirmed patients in Russia is increasing by more than 6,000 every day,"The Chinese will not come even if they are asked to come"。
No work, no income,But for 188bet mobile agencies,While having zero income,Also facing a fixed rent、Expenses such as labor,The situation is more difficult。
Wang Haoran, sales director of Jiuzhou Travel Service in Kenya, told the author,Since the first patient was diagnosed in Kenya on March 13,The 188bet mobile industry, a pillar industry of the local area, has been completely shut down,"There are currently 0 inquiries this summer、0 booking、0 group status”。The direct economic loss of the local travel agencies this year reached 2 million to 3 million yuan,It also involves a large amount of travel agency resource booking funds invested in the hotel in the second half of 2019。
“The number of outbound tourists in previous summers has been on the rise," E Kaijun, general manager of Henan International 188bet mobile Agency Co., Ltd. told the author,Outbound 188bet mobile business accounts for 80% of the company,But since the epidemic,The company’s outbound 188bet mobile business is at a standstill,Especially missed the peak tourist season of July and August。At the same time,In order to retain old employees,The company also bears financial pressure,"Direct economic losses this year are nearly 10 million yuan"。
Not all travel agencies can withstand the pressure。Subject to industrial and commercial registration,According to data from Tianyancha Professional Edition,As of July 23rd,This year, more than 3,500 companies have been included in the business scope、Inbound 188bet mobile company deregistered operation,More than 400 of these companies have been established for less than one year。As opposed to this,There are only 60 new companies related to outbound 188bet mobile business this year。
Professor of 188bet mobile and Services Marketing, School of Business, Edith Cowan University, Australia、Doctoral supervisor Huang Songshan thinks,The situation of outbound travel is very pessimistic。“Although China’s outbound 188bet mobile is the largest market leading the world’s international 188bet mobile,But in the context of such an epidemic,Outbound 188bet mobile may shrink greatly,It is difficult for us to determine the specific number。”
Huangsongshan Judgment,From a historical perspective,2019 may be the peak of my country’s outbound 188bet mobile development,“How long will it take to return to the peak in 2019,I think it may take a few more years。”
Globally,According to World 188bet mobile Organization estimate,The number of global tourists in 2020 will drop by 20% to 30% compared with 2019,International 188bet mobile revenue will decrease by US0 billion to US0 billion。
Dilemma: The 188bet mobile is far from over, and insecurity is widespread
Currently,Although the UK is already included、More than 30 countries and regions including the Maldives have opened or plan to open their borders in an orderly manner,But the threat posed by the 188bet mobile has not disappeared。
Analysis by Yang Jinsong, Director of the International 188bet mobile Research Institute (Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan Research Institute) of the China 188bet mobile Academy,If the epidemic situation at the destination is not under control,For the safety of tourists,It is less likely to allow open group tours,In this case,It is also difficult to carry out independent travel。For individuals,Yang Jinsong said with a smile,“I believe people will not joke with their own lives,He would not choose such a destination。”
In Yang Jinsong’s opinion,Short term,It is unrealistic for outbound 188bet mobile to return to normal levels。But in the long run,Perhaps we can explore point-to-point travel options。Yang Jinsong explains,“For example, South Korea and other countries and regions with better epidemic control,If both parties can make arrangements for epidemic prevention、Deeper cooperation in exchanges and other aspects,Some destinations may be open,Then our outbound 188bet mobile will have more opportunities to recover”。
But,Outbound 188bet mobile faces more than just physical blockades and isolation,Psychological distance、Changes in international relations are a long-term test。
Huang Songshan told the author,Based on his research data,Currently, the primary consideration for nationals traveling abroad is safety,Consideration of national relations is also an important factor。
“So we were talking about globalization,Everything is safe。”Introduction to Huangsong Mountain,"There is a term called deglobalization,That is, deglobalization or anti-globalization。Overseas,The 188bet mobile has caused social tensions,Suspicion and uncertainty between countries、Insecurity clearly pervades every society,Including suspicion between people,Including racial issues and conflicts。These factors will definitely have a certain psychological impact on Chinese residents traveling abroad。”
The Ministry of Culture and 188bet mobile issued a safety reminder for traveling to Australia
Yang Jinsong also said,Tourists’ perception 188bet mobile destination country or region is also important,This represents the basic understanding 188bet mobile destination country or region。“Some destinations are not welcoming to Chinese tourists,Or it is willing to make money from Chinese tourists,But it shows rejection or more extreme discrimination,So for Chinese tourists,I believe there are many people who are unwilling to go to such a destination。”
However,In Yang Jinsong’s opinion,Considering the disposable time of our residents、Income,And the degree of travel convenience caused by the international market’s emphasis on Chinese tourists,The basic trend of my country’s outbound 188bet mobile market size has not changed,In fact, it is still improving。
Self-rescue: Balance risks, innovate and transform
“You can’t put all your eggs in one basket,This is the most profound lesson this 188bet mobile has taught me。”Luna revealed,To maintain family life,She and her husband bought a house with their savings,Collect monthly rent。Also,Like many tour guides in Japan,Luna’s husband changed his career to become a courier,“Online shopping and takeout are bullish after the 188bet mobile,Clearly insufficient delivery manpower,We are looking for delivery people everywhere”。
Luna is currently learning real estate and bookkeeping knowledge,And prepare to obtain relevant qualification certificates,In the future, we will develop business in real estate transaction intermediary。
However,There are also most practitioners who cannot flexibly turn around。Mr. Zhao has no other job,There is no way to start a second business。“Because the 188bet mobile has affected all countries,includes China,The economy is affected,So it’s not that easy to do anything you want to do。”
“The boat is small and easy to turn around,”Huang Songshan recommends tour guides who are abroad or 188bet mobile companies facing the Chinese market,Should combine its own advantages,Observe the new business points issued during the epidemic,For example, looking for new business opportunities on the Internet,Or design 188bet mobile products for the local Chinese market,Consider future transformation。
For domestic 188bet mobile agencies with heavy outbound 188bet mobile business,Turn your attention to domestic 188bet mobile and become a last resort。
Introduction to E Kaijun,Currently, the company has transferred its outbound operations and sales to China,"Let everyone have something to do,Wait until outbound travel resumes before returning to the outbound market”。He thinks,The business foundation of outbound 188bet mobile takes ten years to build,“Because it is the whole industry chain,You still have to carry on in key positions”。
February,The Ministry of Culture and 188bet mobile issued a notice,Announcement to temporarily refund part of the 188bet mobile service quality deposit to travel agencies。Introduction to Yang Jinsong,The guarantee amount is different for domestic agencies and immigration agencies,From this perspective,The support for outbound agencies is relatively high。But,Yang Jinsong emphasized,Although management has provided corresponding assistance to different elements of the travel market,But more depends on the efforts of the market entities themselves。
Huang Songshan thinks,Outbound 188bet mobile may lag far behind the recovery of domestic 188bet mobile,From the perspective of people’s 188bet mobile psychology,Domestic 188bet mobile, especially short-distance 188bet mobile、Surrounding Tour、Tour around the city,Maybe it is a trend in the context of the current epidemic。
Considering from the perspective of national economic rejuvenation,Huang Songshan suggests focusing more on domestic travel,Can better stimulate domestic demand。"In such a context,We can do a good job in domestic 188bet mobile,Can revitalize our economy through domestic 188bet mobile,Especially in the service field,This is a good strategic choice。”
The reality is now, but the dream remains.
Wang Haoran said,The company is now implementing a furlough for Chinese employees,How Kenyan employees can keep their jobs with half pay,Save money,At the same time, we also actively organize learning within the company,Be fully prepared for the wave of outbound 188bet mobile after the epidemic。"Currently from company leader to sales,To the driver and tour guide,Always confident to hold on。”
Luna also made it clear,She will not give up 188bet mobile。“Because I personally just passed the Japanese travel industry qualification last year,I have always had plans to open my own travel company,I gave up just like that。If the epidemic improves、Overseas travel resumes,We will continue to provide tourist services。”
(At the request 188bet mobile interviewer, Luna and Mr. Zhao are pseudonyms)
*Source of 188bet mobile article: China Business Network, author:Qi Mengying,Original title:《Outbound 188bet mobile during summer vacation “trends to zero”: more than 3,500 188bet mobile agencies canceled in half a year,Overseas pick up and transfer to express delivery》.
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