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April 9,Dean of China 188bet mobile Academy、Dai Bin, Director of the Data Center of the Ministry of Culture and 188bet mobile, said at the online release event of academic results in the first quarter of 2021,Benefiting from the favorable impact of the epidemic prevention and control situation and policies,The 188bet mobile economy in the first quarter that just passed was better than expected,The fundamentals of recovery are more solid。Dai Bin thinks,The current 188bet mobile economy is still in the recovery period,It is far from reaching the stage of prosperity。
The recovery process in the first and first quarter was better than expected
Dai Bin thinks,Benefiting from the favorable impact of the epidemic prevention and control situation and policies,The 188bet mobile economy in the first quarter that just passed was better than expected,The fundamentals of recovery are more solid。
As understood,The China 188bet mobile Academy has independently developed and operated the 188bet mobile Economic Prosperity Index (CTA-TEP) for 50 quarters,After four quarters of deep depression, it broke through the 100-point boom-bust line again,Increased by 36% year-on-year and month-on-month respectively.8 and 20.4 percentage points,reached 105.72 points,Entering the boom zone。
“From the statistical data,After the 188bet mobile economic prosperity index fell sharply in the first quarter of last year,There has been a slight upward trend since the second quarter。" Dai Bin said,"Anytime,Confidence is more important than gold。As long as we can stop the panic and spread,The 188bet mobile industry will definitely be able to overcome any difficulties。”
Dai Bin analysis,The recovery of consumer confidence is the primary driving force for boosting the 188bet mobile economy。Although I endured New Year’s Day、Pressure from the rebound of the epidemic in some areas during the Spring Festival,The 188bet mobile market is still dominated by the domestic market cycle,Steadyly walking on the recovery channel on the right side of the U-shape。Three days of New Year’s Day holiday,55.4 million domestic 188bet mobile trips nationwide,Realized domestic 188bet mobile revenue of 27.3 billion yuan。With the vaccination of the new crown vaccine and the beginning of Spring Festival,The number of visitors to tourist attractions began to rise steadily at the end of January,The number of passengers on weekdays and weekends is stable at 6 million/day respectively、10 million passengers/day。Seven days of Spring Festival holiday,Total domestic 188bet mobile trips nationwide 2.5.6 billion visitors,15 year-on-year increase.7%,Restored to 75 for the same period in 2019.3%;Realize domestic 188bet mobile revenue 3011.0 billion yuan,Year-on-year growth of 8.2%,Restored to 58 for the same period in 2019.6%,Tourist satisfaction reached 83.6 satisfaction level。The plateau after the Spring Festival holiday peak,The number of people entering tourist attractions has entered a new channel of steady growth since March。What needs to be explained is,Judging from the daily monitoring data during the seven-day Spring Festival holiday,The number of tourists in national A-level scenic spots is highly consistent with the number of national tourist receptions。After the National “Two Sessions”,Affected by the favorable policies released one after another,Market leading indexes and entrepreneurial confidence, including the inbound and outbound markets, are steadily rising。
Dai Bin estimates,Number of domestic tourists in the first quarter of 2021 6.9.7 billion people,136% year-on-year increase;Domestic 188bet mobile revenue 0.56 trillion yuan,150% year-on-year increase。The number of inbound tourists and income will have a positive growth of 5%,Outbound 188bet mobile is still in a year-on-year decline。
Dai Bin emphasized,The high growth of the domestic 188bet mobile market is relative to the deep depression in the first quarter of last year,Either year-on-year comparison with 2019,Still compared with the fourth quarter of 2020,The current 188bet mobile economy is still in the recovery period,It is far from reaching the stage of prosperity。Therefore,Whether it’s New Year’s Day、Spring Festival、Tomb-Sweeping Festival and other holiday 188bet mobile market indicators,It is still the 188bet mobile economic indicator for the first quarter and the first half of the year,The China 188bet mobile Academy will announce the year-on-year increase、Monogram,There are also data comparing with the same period before the epidemic,In order to have a more comprehensive understanding of the operation of the 188bet mobile economy。From a micro perspective,Consumption psychology is still cautious,But compared to the same period last year and the previous quarter,Already starting to become more positive,People are willing to travel and pay higher and higher budgets for each trip。From the perspective of 188bet mobile organization,Although various places no longer restrict the organization and reception of group tourists,But the 188bet mobile market is still dominated by individual tourists、Self-service、Mainly self-driving and short-distance travel。
2. The development situation in the first half of the year tends to be optimistic
Dai Bin thinks,The second quarter is the traditional peak travel season,And it contains Qingming、May Day、Three Dragon Boat Festival public holidays,It is likely to become a strategic turning point in the 188bet mobile fight against the epidemic。
Dai Bin analysis,Judging from the data of the three-day Qingming Festival holiday,National domestic 188bet mobile travel 1.0.2 billion people,144 year-on-year growth on a comparable basis.6%,Restored to 94 in the same period before the epidemic.5%。Realize domestic 188bet mobile revenue 271.700 million yuan,228 year-on-year increase.9%,Restored to 56 in the same period before the epidemic.7%。The average travel radius of tourists is 172.5 kilometers,Average recreation radius of destination 12.3 kilometers,Significant increases both year-on-year and month-on-month。What deserves attention,The proportion of tourists traveling across provinces reaches 17.3%,5 percentage points higher than the Spring Festival holiday,Set a new high in holiday 188bet mobile since the outbreak。Holiday tourist satisfaction reached 89.3,Continue to be at a high level of "Satisfaction"。When we look back at history in the future,The Qingming Festival in 2021 will be an important node for the domestic 188bet mobile market to move from an orderly recovery to a comprehensive recovery。
Special survey by China 188bet mobile Academy,Residents’ willingness to travel in the second quarter was 83.19%,Increased by 4 year-on-year and month-on-month respectively.93 and 1.02 percentage points。The 188bet mobile consumption psychology of urban and rural residents has begun to shift from caution to positivity,The willingness to travel in suburban areas and across provinces is 43 respectively.48%、34.04%。
Search volume from travel destinations、Looking at leading indicators such as flight and hotel bookings,Domestic 188bet mobile is expected to be close to, recover or exceed the same period in 2019 during the May Day holiday。188bet mobile and travel products will move from the current "low price and quantity" to "low price and high quantity",Some regions and individual industries may experience “both price and volume increases”。The rise in entrepreneur confidence index and the increase in industry optimistic expectations,There is no doubt that it will increase 188bet mobile investment、Product innovation and service quality。With the market recovery and the superimposed impact of favorable policy factors,The vitality of market entities is expected to be further enhanced。With the implementation of the “14th Five-Year Plan” 188bet mobile development plan,Great Wall、Long March、Grand Canal、Yellow River National Cultural Park、World-class tourist attractions and resorts、National 188bet mobile and Leisure City、Construction of Beijing-Zhangjiakou Sports Culture 188bet mobile Belt,And government-led investment in 188bet mobile infrastructure and public services,The city will further stimulate social enthusiasm for investment in 188bet mobile。Improvement of aviation and high-speed transportation network,Rural revitalization and new urbanization will further optimize the spatial layout of 188bet mobile supply。Chengdu Sanxingdui Archaeological Excavation、Large-scale cultural and 188bet mobile projects such as Beijing Universal Resort are put into operation,will become a hot topic in the 188bet mobile industry。
The celebrations to commemorate the 100th anniversary of the founding of the Party are unfolding,Will continue to enrich the cultural life of the masses shared by hosts and guests,Further increase high-quality 188bet mobile supply and quality services。At the press conference of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on March 22,Introduced by Hu Heping, Minister of Culture and 188bet mobile,About the 100th anniversary of the founding of the Communist Party of China,Implement high-quality stage art creation work and thematic art creation projects;Carry out good red 188bet mobile in combination with party history study and education,Provide better products and services to the public,Launched “Hundred Excellent Red 188bet mobile Routes for the Centenary of the Founding of the Party”,Organize red study tour,Let more tourists choose red 188bet mobile,Accept revolutionary traditional education。Affected by this good news,The red 188bet mobile market will gradually heat up in the second quarter,And form a peak around July 1st。As more people join the red 188bet mobile process,Civilized 188bet mobile is expected to be further improved。
Transportation、Education、Sports、Culture、Policies in 188bet mobile and other related fields are becoming more relaxed,The continued release of market demand will bring new opportunities for sustainable development to alleviate the difficulties of 188bet mobile enterprises。Tens of millions of policies,Market number one。With the acceleration of market recovery and the increase in investment in fixed assets such as new infrastructure,The 188bet mobile economy is expected to soon enter a new round of prosperity relying on the domestic market cycle。Traditional elements such as capital and human resources will regroup,Technology、Culture、New momentum such as creativity will continue to enter the market,188bet mobile companies will gradually get rid of the difficulties caused by the epidemic with endogenous strength。In the current and future period,The focus of policies should shift from corporate rescue to employee assistance,Let frontline employees have a real sense of gain。Party committees and governments at all levels must pay close attention to travel agencies、OTA、Star hotel、A-level tourist attraction、Theme Park、Traditional business formats such as travel, transportation and boating,Especially the tour guide、Team leader、Driver、The living conditions of front-line workers such as waiters。
Dai Bin said,Despite flight resumption、"Vaccine Passport"、Expected positive policies such as no-quarantine entry,But it takes time to transform macro policies into administrative measures,The market effect has a delayed manifestation process,The inbound and outbound 188bet mobile market is likely to be cautiously wait-and-see in the first half of the year。China 188bet mobile Academy notes major tourist destination countries、Regions and cities hope to build on herd immunity,Implement the “vaccine passport” plan with China as soon as possible,Start "bubble 188bet mobile", that is, point-to-point charter flights (ships)、Column) direct travel mode with group in and group out。From the perspective of foreseeable epidemic prevention and control policies,In the short term, there may only be a definite roadmap rather than a clear timetable。Except for short-distance markets such as Macau Special Administrative Region,The inbound and outbound 188bet mobile market in the first half of the year will still be in a cold start market preparation period。
Because the dual cycle of domestic and international 188bet mobile markets has not yet started,The domestic 188bet mobile market has not returned to pre-epidemic levels,The China 188bet mobile Academy will make an overall prediction of the annual 188bet mobile economic situation during the summer vacation。Some self-media articles said that "the 188bet mobile economy will recover or even be higher than the level in 2021 in 2021",Even directly gave the prediction data that the total national 188bet mobile revenue for the whole year will exceed 6 trillion yuan,We can understand it as a good wish。
Dai Bin finally said,According to the special forecast of China 188bet mobile Academy (Data Center of the Ministry of Culture and 188bet mobile),The main indicators of the 188bet mobile market in the first half of 2021 are as follows: Number of domestic tourists 17.2.2 billion people,85% year-on-year growth;Domestic 188bet mobile revenue 1.28 trillion yuan,102% year-on-year growth。Subject to business、Study Abroad、The rising influence of motivation to visit relatives,The number of inbound tourists and foreign exchange earnings will increase further,The decline in outbound 188bet mobile will narrow,Generally still preparing for recovery。
*this文ComeSource:China.com, Author:Wu Ce, Cheng Longxuan, original title: "Dai Bin: The domestic market has fully recovered and the 188bet mobile economy has rebounded》.
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