December 17, 2020，China Aviation Industry Development Research Center released the "2020~2039 Civil Aircraft China Market Forecast Annual Report" at the Aviation Industry Media Center，After the outbreak of the new coronavirus pneumonia，The latest forecast for the Chinese civil aircraft market in the next 20 years。Leaders of the Civil Aircraft Cooperation Department and Development Center of the Aviation Industry Corporation of China attended the press conference。

2019，China’s air transport industry completed passenger and freight volume of 6 respectively.600 million passengers and 7.53 million tons，A year-on-year increase of 7 respectively.9% and 188bet Online Sports Betting and Casino 2%，Affected by the macro environment，The growth rate has slowed down compared with previous years。As of the end of 2019，China’s air transport industry fleet size reaches 3818 aircraft，3645 of them are passenger planes，173 cargo planes，The total number of aircraft increased by 179 aircraft，Lower than the net additions of previous years。

Since February 2020, due to the outbreak of the domestic epidemic, domestic and foreign routes have shrunk significantly，As the epidemic spread to the world in March，International routes shrink further。With the domestic epidemic under control，Domestic routes have basically returned to the same period last year in September。Air cargo has been relatively less affected by the epidemic，The overall freight turnover volume in September has returned to 92% in the same period last year.9%。Based on the current development situation of the global new crown epidemic，And experience and judgment on the development of global pandemic，The global epidemic may last for another 1 to 2 years。

In comparison，Domestic epidemic prevention and 188bet online sports betting control is generally relatively stable，And with the domestic economic and social development, domestic routes will continue to grow。You can judge from this，Before 2024，China’s air passenger transport market will be dominated by domestic routes，And the proportion of passenger turnover will remain above 90% in the short term。International routes and regional routes will gradually return to normal levels in 2019 in 2024。

Due to my country’s remarkable achievements in epidemic prevention and control，The economic and social order has gradually returned to normal，It is expected that my country’s air transport industry will recover faster than major foreign markets，Especially the mainland routes will resume faster。The average annual growth rate of China’s air passenger traffic volume is expected to be 5 between 2020 and 2039.3%，It is predicted to reach 3 by the end of the period.3 trillion person kilometers。The average annual growth rate of China’s air cargo turnover is 7 throughout the forecast period.0%，Higher than the growth rate of air passenger turnover，It is predicted that it will reach 101.188bet Online Sports Betting and Casino 9 billion ton kilometers by the end of the period。

In order to meet the needs of increased transportation volume，By the end of 2039，China Airlines passenger aircraft fleet size will reach 8854，645 cargo planes among them。Considering fleet growth and replacement of older aircraft，In the next 20 years, China will need to add 7,576 civilian passenger aircraft of various types，1598 wide-body passenger aircraft，5080 narrow-body passenger aircraft，898 regional airliners。

At the same time，For the first time this year, the forecast results of China’s general aviation market have been publicly released。2019，Flight time in China’s general aviation market、Aircraft inventory、The three core indicators of the number of operating companies continue to maintain steady growth，The flight time exceeded 1 million hours for the first time，The general aircraft fleet continues to maintain a growth rate of more than 10%，The number of operating companies reaches a new high，Reflects the good development momentum of China’s general aviation market。Comprehensive analysis 188bet Online Sports Betting and Casino of various factors，Although the new coronavirus epidemic is currently raging around the world，We are still optimistic about the development of China’s general aviation market in the long term，Under the optimistic expectation that China’s low-altitude airspace reform will achieve a major breakthrough in 2035，It is expected that China’s general aviation market will develop rapidly in the next 15 years。

Estimated to 2035，The annual flight time of China’s general aviation market will reach 6.3 million hours，Among them, aviation training business will account for half of the total flight time，Personal entertainment will become the fastest growing business，Short distance transportation、Business flight、The market share of low-altitude tourism and other businesses will also be close to the level of developed countries。Estimated by the end of 2025，The number of general aircraft in the Chinese market will reach 5,815，By the end of 2035，Estimated next 5 years.50,000。Estimated next 5 years，The demand for general aircraft in the Chinese market is 3111 aircraft，Next 15 years，Demand will exceed 188bet Online Sports Betting and Casino 2.30,000。(This forecast does not include Hong Kong、Demands of airlines in Macau SAR and Taiwan Province。）

188bet online sports betting comeSource: ChinaAviation News Network, original title: "Forecast of China’s civil aircraft market in the next 20 years: China’s passenger transport market will be dominated by domestic routes before 2024》.